New Delhi:
The BJP has been inclined to win, by a margin of six, the choice of the 2025 Delhi assembly, according to the updated NDTV survey of the output surveys. New data, from Chanakya today, My Indian axis, CNXRun on Thursday night, he predicts a return to power in the national capital, for the first time since 1998.
The MY India Axis survey hopes that Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s game will win between 45 and 55 of Delhi’s 70 seats, while CNX is even more Gung-Ho, giving the BJP between 49 and 61 seats.
The first gives the AAP failure of 15 to 25 seats, the last 10-19.
And Chanakya today gives the BJP 51 seats at 19 of the AAP.
Health warning: Exit surveys are often incorrect.
None of the three has any expectation of the Congress, giving it a lonely seat (perhaps), which emphasizes the point where the 12 exit surveys agree: that the party continues to float in Delhi.
The updated survey of the output surveys now gives the BJP 42 of 70 seats, six more than required to form the government. The AAP of Arvind Kejriwal is expected to fight for what would be a third impressive consecutive victory in Delhi, obtain only 27, a great fall of the 67 that won in 2015 and 62 in 2020.
Read | ‘AAP-DA’ for Arvind Kejriwal? Delhi’s departure surveys predict defeat
Congress? Just a seat. A prediction that, if true, will highlight the apparent inability of the party to work with other opposition matches. Congress and AAP were expected to be the period prior to Delhi’s surveys, unite forces (as they have done on the national stage) to defeat the BJP.
But that alliance never happened, reflecting the events that preceded Haryana’s elections last year, in which the state leaders of the Congress refused to tell any agreement with the AAP.
Congress was also also beaten in Haryana.
Meanwhile, back to Delhi and the 10 output surveys announced last night.
Seven of those 10 also predicted a great victory for the BJP. The pulse of people, the newspaper surveyed and people’s ideas were the most optimistic, predicting a low return of 40 and a maximum of 60 among them.
Read | BJP Return in Delhi after 2 decades, AAP OUT, say the output surveys
Chanakya Strategies, DV Research, JVC and P-Marq also predicted that BJP wins.
The AAP, however, has firmly rejected the data survey data, noting that they had been discarded similarly before each of its victories in 2015 and 2020. The AAP leader, Sushil Gupta, told the agency Ani news: “This is our fourth choice … Each one of each one … Time exit surveys did not show AAP (winner, but) Arvind Kejriwal has worked for the people of Delhi.
Read | Departure surveys predict the return of Delhi de BJP. What did you see in 2020?
Batting for the AAP was Waller and Mind Brink, which gave Mr. Kejriwal between 46 and 52, and 44 and 49 seats, respectively. And Matrize is in the fence: BJP 35-40 and AAP 32-37.
Delhi’s 70 seats voted in a single phase on Wednesday. The votes will be counted on Saturday.
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